Missouri State Bears vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction

Result

Final: Missouri State Bears 38, Delaware Blue Hens 61 (Delaware Blue Hens won). Mel’s pick (Delaware Blue Hens win 57% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Delaware Blue Hens win 57% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Missouri State Bears: 43%
• Delaware Blue Hens: 57%

Projected score

Missouri State Bears 25, Delaware Blue Hens 28. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Delaware Blue Hens by about 2.1) is close to the line (Delaware Blue Hens −2.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 52.5; Mel’s projected 53.1 is right around it.

Recent form

Missouri State Bears (2-4) scored 26.6 and allowed 26.6 points a game over their last 5.

Delaware Blue Hens (2-4) scored 19 and allowed 30.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 20, 5:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.