South Alabama Jaguars vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Result

Final: South Alabama Jaguars 13, Marshall Thundering Herd 20 (Marshall Thundering Herd won). Mel’s pick (South Alabama Jaguars win 59% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

South Alabama Jaguars win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• South Alabama Jaguars: 59%
• Marshall Thundering Herd: 41%

Projected score

South Alabama Jaguars 36, Marshall Thundering Herd 33. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (South Alabama Jaguars by about 3.3) is close to the line (South Alabama Jaguars −2.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 65.5; Mel projects 68.7 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

South Alabama Jaguars (4-2) scored 38.8 and allowed 38.6 points a game over their last 5.

Marshall Thundering Herd (3-3) scored 26.4 and allowed 31.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 20, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.