New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston Bearkats prediction

Result

Final: New Mexico State Aggies 30, Sam Houston Bearkats 24 (New Mexico State Aggies won). Mel’s pick (New Mexico State Aggies win 58% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

New Mexico State Aggies win 58% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• New Mexico State Aggies: 58%
• Sam Houston Bearkats: 42%

Projected score

New Mexico State Aggies 24, Sam Houston Bearkats 21. 31% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (New Mexico State Aggies by about 3.2) is close to the line (New Mexico State Aggies −2.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 44.5; Mel’s projected 44.6 is right around it.

Recent form

New Mexico State Aggies (2-4) scored 25 and allowed 24 points a game over their last 5.

Sam Houston Bearkats (1-5) scored 19.2 and allowed 24.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 6:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.