East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers prediction

Result

Final: East Carolina Pirates 34, Memphis Tigers 41 (Memphis Tigers won). Mel’s pick (Memphis Tigers win 80% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Memphis Tigers win 80% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• East Carolina Pirates: 20%
• Memphis Tigers: 80%

Projected score

East Carolina Pirates 22, Memphis Tigers 34. 18% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Memphis Tigers by about 11.1) is close to the line (Memphis Tigers −10.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 55.5; Mel’s projected 56.5 is right around it.

Recent form

East Carolina Pirates (3-3) scored 26.2 and allowed 19 points a game over their last 5.

Memphis Tigers (5-2) scored 35.8 and allowed 22.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 22, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.