James Madison Dukes vs App State Mountaineers prediction

Result

Final: James Madison Dukes 31, App State Mountaineers 34 (App State Mountaineers won). Mel’s pick (James Madison Dukes win 81% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

James Madison Dukes win 81% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• James Madison Dukes: 81%
• App State Mountaineers: 19%

Projected score

James Madison Dukes 35, App State Mountaineers 23. 18% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has James Madison Dukes −10.5. Mel projects James Madison Dukes by 12.1, so the simulation leans James Madison Dukes -10.5 against the spread.

The total is 56.5; Mel’s projected 58 is right around it.

Recent form

James Madison Dukes (7-0) scored 38.6 and allowed 19.2 points a game over their last 5.

App State Mountaineers (4-2) scored 24.4 and allowed 25.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 22, 5:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.