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Baylor Bears vs Kansas Jayhawks prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium · TNT

Result

Final: Baylor Bears 24, Kansas Jayhawks 25 (Kansas Jayhawks won). Mel’s pick (Baylor Bears win 56% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Baylor Bears win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Baylor Bears 28, Kansas Jayhawks 26. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Baylor Bears by about 2.4) is close to the line (Baylor Bears −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 52.5; Mel’s projected 53.8 is right around it.

Recent form

Baylor Bears (4-2) scored 32.8 and allowed 14.2 points a game over their last 5.

Kansas Jayhawks (2-4) scored 28.2 and allowed 27.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.