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Bowling Green Falcons vs Buffalo Bulls prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · Broadview Stadium · ESPN+

Result

Final: Bowling Green Falcons 24, Buffalo Bulls 31 (Buffalo Bulls won). Mel’s pick (Buffalo Bulls win 60% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Buffalo Bulls win 60% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Bowling Green Falcons 21, Buffalo Bulls 24. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Buffalo Bulls by about 2.9) is close to the line (Buffalo Bulls −3), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 44.5; Mel’s projected 44.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Bowling Green Falcons (2-5) scored 21.2 and allowed 26.2 points a game over their last 5.

Buffalo Bulls (4-3) scored 21.8 and allowed 25.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.