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BYU Cougars vs UCF Knights prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · Acrisure Bounce House · Fox

Result

Final: BYU Cougars 31, UCF Knights 39 (UCF Knights won). Mel’s pick (BYU Cougars win 73% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

BYU Cougars win 73% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

BYU Cougars 26, UCF Knights 18. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has BYU Cougars −7. Mel projects BYU Cougars by 8.5, so the simulation leans BYU Cougars -7 against the spread.

The total is 43.5; Mel’s projected 44.1 is right around it.

Recent form

BYU Cougars (6-0) scored 27.6 and allowed 16.8 points a game over their last 5.

UCF Knights (3-3) scored 23.4 and allowed 24.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.