California Golden Bears vs SMU Mustangs prediction

Result

Final: California Golden Bears 20, SMU Mustangs 59 (SMU Mustangs won). Mel’s pick (SMU Mustangs win 92% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

SMU Mustangs win 92% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• California Golden Bears: 8%
• SMU Mustangs: 92%

Projected score

California Golden Bears 18, SMU Mustangs 38. 8% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (SMU Mustangs by about 19.1) is close to the line (SMU Mustangs −18.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 55.5; Mel’s projected 56.1 is right around it.

Recent form

California Golden Bears (3-4) scored 24.4 and allowed 26.2 points a game over their last 5.

SMU Mustangs (5-1) scored 33.8 and allowed 20.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.