Indiana Hoosiers vs Michigan Wolverines prediction

Result

Final: Indiana Hoosiers 13, Michigan Wolverines 6 (Indiana Hoosiers won). Mel’s pick (Indiana Hoosiers win 74% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Indiana Hoosiers win 74% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Indiana Hoosiers: 74%
• Michigan Wolverines: 26%

Projected score

Indiana Hoosiers 26, Michigan Wolverines 17. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Indiana Hoosiers −7.5. Mel projects Indiana Hoosiers by 8.8, so the simulation leans Indiana Hoosiers -7.5 against the spread.

The total is 42.5; Mel’s projected 42.8 is right around it.

Recent form

Indiana Hoosiers (6-1) scored 29.8 and allowed 14.8 points a game over their last 5.

Michigan Wolverines (4-2) scored 24.6 and allowed 17 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.