Iowa Hawkeyes vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction

Result

Final: Iowa Hawkeyes 10, Minnesota Golden Gophers 13 (Minnesota Golden Gophers won). Mel’s pick (Iowa Hawkeyes win 74% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Iowa Hawkeyes win 74% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Iowa Hawkeyes: 74%
• Minnesota Golden Gophers: 26%

Projected score

Iowa Hawkeyes 25, Minnesota Golden Gophers 16. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Iowa Hawkeyes −7.5. Mel projects Iowa Hawkeyes by 8.8, so the simulation leans Iowa Hawkeyes -7.5 against the spread.

The total is 40.5; Mel’s projected 41.2 is right around it.

Recent form

Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1) scored 29.2 and allowed 17.4 points a game over their last 5.

Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-2) scored 22.8 and allowed 24.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.