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Kansas State Wildcats vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 3:45 PM ET · Mountain America Stadium · ESPN2

Result

Final: Kansas State Wildcats 17, Arizona State Sun Devils 28 (Arizona State Sun Devils won). Mel’s pick (Kansas State Wildcats win 56% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Kansas State Wildcats win 56% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Kansas State Wildcats 28, Arizona State Sun Devils 25. 31% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Kansas State Wildcats by about 2.3) is close to the line (Kansas State Wildcats −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 51.5; Mel’s projected 52.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Kansas State Wildcats (4-2) scored 28.4 and allowed 23.4 points a game over their last 5.

Arizona State Sun Devils (3-3) scored 23.6 and allowed 37 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 2:08 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.