LSU Tigers vs Auburn Tigers prediction

Result

Final: LSU Tigers 38, Auburn Tigers 17 (LSU Tigers won). Mel’s pick (LSU Tigers win 72% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

LSU Tigers win 72% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• LSU Tigers: 72%
• Auburn Tigers: 28%

Projected score

LSU Tigers 30, Auburn Tigers 23. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has LSU Tigers −7. Mel projects LSU Tigers by 8.2, so the simulation leans LSU Tigers -7 against the spread.

The total is 51.5; Mel projects 53.3 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

LSU Tigers (5-2) scored 37.4 and allowed 17.4 points a game over their last 5.

Auburn Tigers (4-2) scored 28.8 and allowed 23 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.