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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Central Michigan Chippewas prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET · Kelly/Shorts Stadium · ESPN+

Result

Final: Miami (OH) RedHawks 28, Central Michigan Chippewas 27 (Miami (OH) RedHawks won). Mel’s pick (Miami (OH) RedHawks win 63% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Miami (OH) RedHawks win 63% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Miami (OH) RedHawks 23, Central Michigan Chippewas 18. 28% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Miami (OH) RedHawks −3.5. Mel projects Miami (OH) RedHawks by 4.5, so the simulation leans Miami (OH) RedHawks -3.5 against the spread.

The total is 40.5; Mel’s projected 41.1 is right around it.

Recent form

Miami (OH) RedHawks (4-3) scored 25.8 and allowed 22.6 points a game over their last 5.

Central Michigan Chippewas (3-4) scored 19.2 and allowed 26.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.