Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins prediction

Result

Final: Michigan State Spartans 10, UCLA Bruins 28 (UCLA Bruins won). Mel’s pick (UCLA Bruins win 92% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

UCLA Bruins win 92% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Michigan State Spartans: 8%
• UCLA Bruins: 92%

Projected score

Michigan State Spartans 13, UCLA Bruins 30. 9% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has UCLA Bruins −16.5. Mel projects UCLA Bruins by 18, so the simulation leans UCLA Bruins -16.5 against the spread.

The total is 42.5; Mel’s projected 42.7 is right around it.

Recent form

Michigan State Spartans (2-5) scored 16.8 and allowed 30.2 points a game over their last 5.

UCLA Bruins (6-0) scored 33.6 and allowed 14.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.