North Dakota State Bison vs New Mexico Lobos prediction

Result

Final: North Dakota State Bison 16, New Mexico Lobos 21 (New Mexico Lobos won). Mel’s pick (New Mexico Lobos win 68% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

New Mexico Lobos win 68% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• North Dakota State Bison: 32%
• New Mexico Lobos: 68%

Projected score

North Dakota State Bison 18, New Mexico Lobos 23. 26% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (New Mexico Lobos by about 5.3) is close to the line (New Mexico Lobos −4.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 39.5; Mel’s projected 40.5 is right around it.

Recent form

North Dakota State Bison (6-1) scored 27 and allowed 14.4 points a game over their last 5.

New Mexico Lobos (5-1) scored 40 and allowed 11.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 8:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.