North Texas Mean Green vs Navy Midshipmen prediction

Result

Final: North Texas Mean Green 49, Navy Midshipmen 39 (North Texas Mean Green won). Mel’s pick (North Texas Mean Green win 62% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

North Texas Mean Green win 62% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• North Texas Mean Green: 62%
• Navy Midshipmen: 38%

Projected score

North Texas Mean Green 34, Navy Midshipmen 29. 26% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has North Texas Mean Green −3. Mel projects North Texas Mean Green by 4.4, so the simulation leans North Texas Mean Green -3 against the spread.

The total is 60.5; Mel projects 63.4 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

North Texas Mean Green (4-2) scored 47.4 and allowed 24.6 points a game over their last 5.

Navy Midshipmen (2-4) scored 25.4 and allowed 28 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.