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Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction

College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET · Davis Wade Stadium · SEC Network

Result

Final: Oklahoma Sooners 23, Mississippi State Bulldogs 15 (Oklahoma Sooners won). Mel’s pick (Oklahoma Sooners win 53% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Oklahoma Sooners win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Oklahoma Sooners 25, Mississippi State Bulldogs 24. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Oklahoma Sooners by about 1.6) is close to the line (Oklahoma Sooners −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 48.5; Mel’s projected 48.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Oklahoma Sooners (3-3) scored 15.4 and allowed 21.8 points a game over their last 5.

Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-2) scored 26.6 and allowed 31.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.