Oregon Ducks vs Illinois Fighting Illini prediction

Result

Final: Oregon Ducks 10, Illinois Fighting Illini 21 (Illinois Fighting Illini won). Mel’s pick (Oregon Ducks win 80% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Oregon Ducks win 80% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Oregon Ducks: 80%
• Illinois Fighting Illini: 20%

Projected score

Oregon Ducks 31, Illinois Fighting Illini 20. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Oregon Ducks −10. Mel projects Oregon Ducks by 11.6, so the simulation leans Oregon Ducks -10 against the spread.

The total is 49.5; Mel projects 51.4 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Oregon Ducks (4-2) scored 37.6 and allowed 19.4 points a game over their last 5.

Illinois Fighting Illini (3-3) scored 29.8 and allowed 28.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.