Sacramento State Hornets vs Ball State Cardinals prediction

Result

Final: Sacramento State Hornets 17, Ball State Cardinals 34 (Ball State Cardinals won). Mel’s pick (Ball State Cardinals win 88% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Ball State Cardinals win 88% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Sacramento State Hornets: 12%
• Ball State Cardinals: 88%

Projected score

Sacramento State Hornets 19, Ball State Cardinals 33. 13% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Ball State Cardinals by about 15.1) is close to the line (Ball State Cardinals −14.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 51.5; Mel’s projected 51.5 is right around it.

Recent form

Sacramento State Hornets (1-6) scored 7.2 and allowed 40.2 points a game over their last 5.

Ball State Cardinals (2-5) scored 19.6 and allowed 38.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 1:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.