San Diego State Aztecs vs Colorado State Rams prediction

Result

Final: San Diego State Aztecs 49, Colorado State Rams 56 (Colorado State Rams won). Mel’s pick (San Diego State Aztecs win 53% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

San Diego State Aztecs win 53% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• San Diego State Aztecs: 53%
• Colorado State Rams: 47%

Projected score

San Diego State Aztecs 32, Colorado State Rams 30. 30% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (San Diego State Aztecs by about 1.6) is close to the line (San Diego State Aztecs −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 59.5; Mel projects 62.5 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

San Diego State Aztecs (3-4) scored 20 and allowed 37 points a game over their last 5.

Colorado State Rams (2-4) scored 35.8 and allowed 49.2 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 4:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.