San José State Spartans vs Nevada Wolf Pack prediction

Result

Final: San José State Spartans 13, Nevada Wolf Pack 28 (Nevada Wolf Pack won). Mel’s pick (Nevada Wolf Pack win 67% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Nevada Wolf Pack win 67% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• San José State Spartans: 33%
• Nevada Wolf Pack: 67%

Projected score

San José State Spartans 20, Nevada Wolf Pack 26. 26% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Nevada Wolf Pack by about 5.4) is close to the line (Nevada Wolf Pack −5.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 46.5; Mel’s projected 46.3 is right around it.

Recent form

San José State Spartans (4-3) scored 19.4 and allowed 17.8 points a game over their last 5.

Nevada Wolf Pack (2-4) scored 21.4 and allowed 25.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 3:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.