Syracuse Orange vs North Carolina Tar Heels prediction

Result

Final: Syracuse Orange 31, North Carolina Tar Heels 30 (Syracuse Orange won). Mel’s pick (North Carolina Tar Heels win 79% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

North Carolina Tar Heels win 79% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Syracuse Orange: 21%
• North Carolina Tar Heels: 79%

Projected score

Syracuse Orange 20, North Carolina Tar Heels 30. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (North Carolina Tar Heels by about 10.2) is close to the line (North Carolina Tar Heels −9.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 49.5; Mel’s projected 50.4 is right around it.

Recent form

Syracuse Orange (2-4) scored 24.8 and allowed 30.2 points a game over their last 5.

North Carolina Tar Heels (4-2) scored 25.2 and allowed 21 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.