Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Cincinnati Bearcats prediction
College football · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · Nippert Stadium · FS1
Result
Final: Texas Tech Red Raiders 24, Cincinnati Bearcats 37 (Cincinnati Bearcats won). Mel’s pick (Texas Tech Red Raiders win 82% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Texas Tech Red Raiders win 82% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders: 82%
- Cincinnati Bearcats: 18%
Projected score
Texas Tech Red Raiders 36, Cincinnati Bearcats 23. 17% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Texas Tech Red Raiders −11.5. Mel projects Texas Tech Red Raiders by 13, so the simulation leans Texas Tech Red Raiders -11.5 against the spread.
The total is 56.5; Mel projects 58.5 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-0) scored 38.8 and allowed 19.2 points a game over their last 5.
Cincinnati Bearcats (4-2) scored 35.4 and allowed 29.2 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.