UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans prediction

Result

Final: UL Monroe Warhawks 21, Troy Trojans 14 (UL Monroe Warhawks won). Mel’s pick (Troy Trojans win 84% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Troy Trojans win 84% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• UL Monroe Warhawks: 16%
• Troy Trojans: 84%

Projected score

UL Monroe Warhawks 19, Troy Trojans 32. 15% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Troy Trojans by about 13) is close to the line (Troy Trojans −12.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 50.5; Mel’s projected 51.3 is right around it.

Recent form

UL Monroe Warhawks (0-6) scored 21.4 and allowed 37 points a game over their last 5.

Troy Trojans (3-3) scored 24.4 and allowed 26.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 2:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.