Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats prediction

Result

Final: Utah State Aggies 17, Texas State Bobcats 20 (Texas State Bobcats won). Mel’s pick (Texas State Bobcats win 87% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Texas State Bobcats win 87% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Utah State Aggies: 13%
• Texas State Bobcats: 87%

Projected score

Utah State Aggies 24, Texas State Bobcats 38. 13% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Texas State Bobcats −13.5. Mel projects Texas State Bobcats by 14.8, so the simulation leans Texas State Bobcats -13.5 against the spread.

The total is 60.5; Mel’s projected 61.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Utah State Aggies (2-4) scored 14 and allowed 22.4 points a game over their last 5.

Texas State Bobcats (3-3) scored 46.6 and allowed 26.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.