Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction

Result

Final: Vanderbilt Commodores 17, Kentucky Wildcats 34 (Kentucky Wildcats won). Mel’s pick (Kentucky Wildcats win 82% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Kentucky Wildcats win 82% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Vanderbilt Commodores: 18%
• Kentucky Wildcats: 82%

Projected score

Vanderbilt Commodores 20, Kentucky Wildcats 32. 17% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Kentucky Wildcats −10.5. Mel projects Kentucky Wildcats by 11.9, so the simulation leans Kentucky Wildcats -10.5 against the spread.

The total is 50.5; Mel’s projected 51.5 is right around it.

Recent form

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-4) scored 20.4 and allowed 34.6 points a game over their last 5.

Kentucky Wildcats (6-1) scored 33.4 and allowed 24.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.