Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets prediction

Result

Final: Western Michigan Broncos 38, Toledo Rockets 45 (Toledo Rockets won). Mel’s pick (Toledo Rockets win 60% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Toledo Rockets win 60% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Western Michigan Broncos: 40%
• Toledo Rockets: 60%

Projected score

Western Michigan Broncos 22, Toledo Rockets 26. 29% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Toledo Rockets by about 3.1) is close to the line (Toledo Rockets −3), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 47.5; Mel’s projected 48.3 is right around it.

Recent form

Western Michigan Broncos (5-2) scored 22.8 and allowed 18.2 points a game over their last 5.

Toledo Rockets (5-2) scored 34.2 and allowed 25 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.