Sam Houston Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears prediction

Result

Final: Sam Houston Bearkats 3, Missouri State Bears 24 (Missouri State Bears won). Mel’s pick (Missouri State Bears win 70% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Missouri State Bears win 70% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Sam Houston Bearkats: 30%
• Missouri State Bears: 70%

Projected score

Sam Houston Bearkats 24, Missouri State Bears 30. 25% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Missouri State Bears by about 6.4) is close to the line (Missouri State Bears −6), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 52.5; Mel’s projected 53.7 is right around it.

Recent form

Sam Houston Bearkats (1-6) scored 20.6 and allowed 26 points a game over their last 5.

Missouri State Bears (2-5) scored 24.6 and allowed 36 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 27, 6:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.