Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green prediction
College football · Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET · DATCU Stadium · ESPN
Result
Final: Florida Atlantic Owls 41, North Texas Mean Green 48 (North Texas Mean Green won). Mel’s pick (North Texas Mean Green win 83% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
North Texas Mean Green win 83% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Florida Atlantic Owls: 17%
- North Texas Mean Green: 83%
Projected score
Florida Atlantic Owls 33, North Texas Mean Green 47. 16% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Mel’s margin (North Texas Mean Green by about 12.8) is close to the line (North Texas Mean Green −13.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.
The total is 76.5; Mel projects 80.4 points, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Florida Atlantic Owls (5-2) scored 40.4 and allowed 28.4 points a game over their last 5.
North Texas Mean Green (5-2) scored 48.4 and allowed 31.2 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 29, 5:58 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.