Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes prediction

Result

Final: Troy Trojans 24, James Madison Dukes 21 (Troy Trojans won). Mel’s pick (James Madison Dukes win 94% of the time) was wrong.

Mel’s pick

James Madison Dukes win 94% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Troy Trojans: 6%
• James Madison Dukes: 94%

Projected score

Troy Trojans 15, James Madison Dukes 35. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (James Madison Dukes by about 20.4) is close to the line (James Madison Dukes −19.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 49.5; Mel’s projected 50.4 is right around it.

Recent form

Troy Trojans (3-4) scored 20.4 and allowed 27.2 points a game over their last 5.

James Madison Dukes (7-1) scored 39.6 and allowed 23.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 29, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.