California Golden Bears vs NC State Wolfpack prediction

Result

Final: California Golden Bears 10, NC State Wolfpack 31 (NC State Wolfpack won). Mel’s pick (NC State Wolfpack win 78% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

NC State Wolfpack win 78% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• California Golden Bears: 22%
• NC State Wolfpack: 78%

Projected score

California Golden Bears 24, NC State Wolfpack 34. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (NC State Wolfpack by about 10.4) is close to the line (NC State Wolfpack −9.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 56.5; Mel projects 58.1 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

California Golden Bears (3-5) scored 18.6 and allowed 36.6 points a game over their last 5.

NC State Wolfpack (3-4) scored 29 and allowed 32.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.