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Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins prediction

College football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM ET · SECU Stadium · FS1

Result

Final: Illinois Fighting Illini 20, Maryland Terrapins 17 (Illinois Fighting Illini won). Mel’s pick (Illinois Fighting Illini win 59% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Illinois Fighting Illini win 59% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Illinois Fighting Illini 30, Maryland Terrapins 26. 30% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Illinois Fighting Illini −2.5. Mel projects Illinois Fighting Illini by 3.6, so the simulation leans Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 against the spread.

The total is 54.5; Mel projects 56.1 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Illinois Fighting Illini (4-3) scored 28.6 and allowed 24.6 points a game over their last 5.

Maryland Terrapins (2-5) scored 19.6 and allowed 43.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.