Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas Longhorns prediction

Result

Final: Mississippi State Bulldogs 3, Texas Longhorns 31 (Texas Longhorns won). Mel’s pick (Texas Longhorns win 95% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Texas Longhorns win 95% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Mississippi State Bulldogs: 5%
• Texas Longhorns: 95%

Projected score

Mississippi State Bulldogs 15, Texas Longhorns 36. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Texas Longhorns by about 21.4) is close to the line (Texas Longhorns −20.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 50.5; Mel’s projected 50.7 is right around it.

Recent form

Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) scored 22 and allowed 33.6 points a game over their last 5.

Texas Longhorns (5-2) scored 26.4 and allowed 20.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.