New Mexico Lobos vs San José State Spartans prediction
College football · Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET · CEFCU Stadium · MW+
Result
Final: New Mexico Lobos 21, San José State Spartans 16 (New Mexico Lobos won). Mel’s pick (New Mexico Lobos win 88% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
New Mexico Lobos win 88% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- New Mexico Lobos: 88%
- San José State Spartans: 12%
Projected score
New Mexico Lobos 29, San José State Spartans 13. 13% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has New Mexico Lobos −14.5. Mel projects New Mexico Lobos by 15.6, so the simulation leans New Mexico Lobos -14.5 against the spread.
The total is 42.5; Mel’s projected 42 is right around it.
Recent form
New Mexico Lobos (6-1) scored 30.2 and allowed 13 points a game over their last 5.
San José State Spartans (4-4) scored 16 and allowed 19.4 points a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 2:28 PM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.