Ohio State Buckeyes vs USC Trojans prediction

Result

Final: Ohio State Buckeyes 18, USC Trojans 30 (USC Trojans won). Mel’s pick (Ohio State Buckeyes win 73% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Ohio State Buckeyes win 73% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Ohio State Buckeyes: 73%
• USC Trojans: 27%

Projected score

Ohio State Buckeyes 31, USC Trojans 22. 23% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Ohio State Buckeyes −6.5. Mel projects Ohio State Buckeyes by 8.5, so the simulation leans Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 against the spread.

The total is 51.5; Mel’s projected 52.9 is right around it.

Recent form

Ohio State Buckeyes (6-1) scored 39.2 and allowed 13.4 points a game over their last 5.

USC Trojans (6-2) scored 26.4 and allowed 28.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 5:58 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.