Purdue Boilermakers vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction

Result

Final: Purdue Boilermakers 17, Penn State Nittany Lions 31 (Penn State Nittany Lions won). Mel’s pick (Penn State Nittany Lions win 80% of the time) was right.

Mel’s pick

Penn State Nittany Lions win 80% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Purdue Boilermakers: 20%
• Penn State Nittany Lions: 80%

Projected score

Purdue Boilermakers 23, Penn State Nittany Lions 33. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Penn State Nittany Lions by about 10.9) is close to the line (Penn State Nittany Lions −10.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 54.5; Mel’s projected 55.6 is right around it.

Recent form

Purdue Boilermakers (3-4) scored 27.8 and allowed 33.8 points a game over their last 5.

Penn State Nittany Lions (3-4) scored 25.8 and allowed 24.6 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 2:38 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.