SMU Mustangs vs Syracuse Orange prediction

Result

Final: SMU Mustangs 27, Syracuse Orange 30 (Syracuse Orange won). Mel’s pick (SMU Mustangs win 79% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

SMU Mustangs win 79% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• SMU Mustangs: 79%
• Syracuse Orange: 21%

Projected score

SMU Mustangs 35, Syracuse Orange 25. 20% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has SMU Mustangs −9.5. Mel projects SMU Mustangs by 11.2, so the simulation leans SMU Mustangs -9.5 against the spread.

The total is 58.5; Mel projects 60.4 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

SMU Mustangs (6-1) scored 34.4 and allowed 22.8 points a game over their last 5.

Syracuse Orange (3-4) scored 27.4 and allowed 32 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 10:28 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.