Texas State Bobcats vs Boise State Broncos prediction

Result

Final: Texas State Bobcats 45, Boise State Broncos 46 (Boise State Broncos won). Mel’s pick (Boise State Broncos win 79% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Boise State Broncos win 79% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Texas State Bobcats: 21%
• Boise State Broncos: 79%

Projected score

Texas State Bobcats 28, Boise State Broncos 38. 19% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Boise State Broncos by about 10.7) is close to the line (Boise State Broncos −10.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 63.5; Mel projects 66.2 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Texas State Bobcats (4-3) scored 45.4 and allowed 24 points a game over their last 5.

Boise State Broncos (6-1) scored 35.2 and allowed 18 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 31, 8:28 PM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.