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Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest prediction

Premier League · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 11:30 AM ET · The City Ground · Peacock

Result

Final: Arsenal 1, Nottingham Forest 0 (Arsenal won). Mel’s pick (Nottingham Forest win 41% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Nottingham Forest win 41% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Arsenal 1, Nottingham Forest 2 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 2.5; Mel projects 3 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Arsenal (5-0-1) scored 1.4 and allowed 1 goals a game over their last 5.

Nottingham Forest (1-2-3) scored 1 and allowed 1.6 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.