Crystal Palace vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
Premier League · Sunday, October 18, 2026 · 9:00 AM ET · American Express Stadium · Peacock
Result
Final: Crystal Palace 0, Brighton & Hove Albion 5 (Brighton & Hove Albion won). Mel’s pick (Brighton & Hove Albion win 68% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
Brighton & Hove Albion win 68% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Crystal Palace: 12%
- Draw: 19%
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 68%
Projected score
Crystal Palace 1, Brighton & Hove Albion 2 expected goals.
Mel vs the betting line
The total is 3.5; Mel projects 2.8 goals, a lean to the under.
Recent form
Crystal Palace (2-1-3) scored 1.8 and allowed 2.4 goals a game over their last 5.
Brighton & Hove Albion (4-1-1) scored 2.8 and allowed 1 goals a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 3:47 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.