Manchester United vs Leeds United prediction

Result

Final: Manchester United 1, Leeds United 1 (a draw). Mel’s pick (Manchester United win 50% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Manchester United win 50% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Manchester United: 50%
• Draw: 24%
• Leeds United: 27%

Projected score

Manchester United 2, Leeds United 1 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 2.5; Mel projects 2.8 goals, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Manchester United (1-3-2) scored 1.8 and allowed 1.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Leeds United (2-3-1) scored 1.6 and allowed 1 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 3:47 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.