Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction

Result

Final: Sevilla 1, Real Madrid 4 (Real Madrid won). Mel’s pick (Real Madrid win 70% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Real Madrid win 70% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Sevilla: 8%
• Draw: 22%
• Real Madrid: 70%

Projected score

Sevilla 1, Real Madrid 2 expected goals.

Mel vs the betting line

The total is 3.5; Mel projects 2.8 goals, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Sevilla (4-2-2) scored 1.4 and allowed 1.4 goals a game over their last 5.

Real Madrid (6-0-2) scored 1.8 and allowed 1.2 goals a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 18, 9:02 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.