Villarreal vs Valencia prediction
La Liga · Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:30 PM ET · Mestalla Stadium · ESPN Deportes
Result
Final: Villarreal 2, Valencia 1 (Villarreal won). Mel’s pick (Villarreal win 49% of the time) was right. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.
Mel’s pick
Villarreal win 49% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Villarreal: 49%
- Draw: 21%
- Valencia: 30%
Projected score
Villarreal 2, Valencia 1 expected goals.
Mel vs the betting line
The total is 2.5; Mel projects 2.9 goals, a lean to the over.
Recent form
Villarreal (2-3-4) scored 1.8 and allowed 1.6 goals a game over their last 5.
Valencia (1-3-5) scored 1 and allowed 2.2 goals a game over their last 5.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel, weather and the betting market. Updated Oct 24, 9:22 AM ET.
See the full simulation
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.