Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction

Result

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 10, Tampa Bay Rays 1 (Milwaukee Brewers won). Mel’s pick (Tampa Bay Rays win 52% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Tampa Bay Rays win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Milwaukee Brewers: 48%
• Tampa Bay Rays: 52%

Projected score

Milwaukee Brewers 4, Tampa Bay Rays 4. 25% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (Tampa Bay Rays by about 0.8) is close to the line (Milwaukee Brewers −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 7; Mel projects 8.1 runs, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) scored 5.4 and allowed 3.2 runs a game over their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays (98-64) scored 4.6 and allowed 3 runs a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 26, 9:13 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.