Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction

Result

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 116, San Antonio Spurs 104 (Oklahoma City Thunder won). Mel’s pick (San Antonio Spurs win 52% of the time) was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

San Antonio Spurs win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Oklahoma City Thunder: 48%
• San Antonio Spurs: 52%

Projected score

Oklahoma City Thunder 117, San Antonio Spurs 119. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Mel’s margin (San Antonio Spurs by about 2.2) is close to the line (San Antonio Spurs −1.5), so there’s no real lean against the spread.

The total is 230.5; Mel projects 235.7 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Oklahoma City Thunder (0-0) scored 109.8 and allowed 117 points a game over their last 5.

San Antonio Spurs (0-0) scored 114.4 and allowed 108.8 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 20, 9:12 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.