Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets prediction

Result

Final: Dallas Mavericks 110, Houston Rockets 128 (Houston Rockets won). Mel’s pick (Houston Rockets win 71% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Houston Rockets win 71% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Dallas Mavericks: 29%
• Houston Rockets: 71%

Projected score

Dallas Mavericks 112, Houston Rockets 120. 5% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Houston Rockets −9.5. Mel projects Houston Rockets by 7.4, so the simulation leans Dallas Mavericks +9.5 against the spread.

The total is 229.5; Mel projects 231.6 points, a lean to the over.

Recent form

Dallas Mavericks (0-0) scored 114.3 and allowed 121.5 points a game over their last 4.

Houston Rockets (0-0) scored 122 and allowed 112.7 points a game over their last 3.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.