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Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center · NBA League Pass

Result

Final: Indiana Pacers 123, New Orleans Pelicans 120 (Indiana Pacers won). Mel’s pick (Indiana Pacers win 57% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Indiana Pacers win 57% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Indiana Pacers 122, New Orleans Pelicans 116. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Indiana Pacers −3.5. Mel projects Indiana Pacers by 5.4, so the simulation leans Indiana Pacers -3.5 against the spread.

The total is 239.5; Mel projects 237.9 points, a lean to the under.

Recent form

Indiana Pacers (0-0) scored 119.8 and allowed 118.3 points a game over their last 4.

New Orleans Pelicans (0-0) scored 110.5 and allowed 110.3 points a game over their last 4.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.