Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction
NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET · Smoothie King Center · NBA League Pass
Result
Final: Indiana Pacers 123, New Orleans Pelicans 120 (Indiana Pacers won). Mel’s pick (Indiana Pacers win 57% of the time) was right. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong. On the total, Mel’s lean was wrong.
Mel’s pick
Indiana Pacers win 57% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.
- Indiana Pacers: 57%
- New Orleans Pelicans: 43%
Projected score
Indiana Pacers 122, New Orleans Pelicans 116. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.
Mel vs the betting line
Vegas has Indiana Pacers −3.5. Mel projects Indiana Pacers by 5.4, so the simulation leans Indiana Pacers -3.5 against the spread.
The total is 239.5; Mel projects 237.9 points, a lean to the under.
Recent form
Indiana Pacers (0-0) scored 119.8 and allowed 118.3 points a game over their last 4.
New Orleans Pelicans (0-0) scored 110.5 and allowed 110.3 points a game over their last 4.
Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.
See the full simulation
Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.
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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.