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Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards prediction

NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET · Capital One Arena · MNMT

Result

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 116, Washington Wizards 128 (Washington Wizards won). Mel’s pick (Milwaukee Bucks win 52% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was wrong.

Mel’s pick

Milwaukee Bucks win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

Projected score

Milwaukee Bucks 118, Washington Wizards 120. 7% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Washington Wizards −4.5. Mel projects Washington Wizards by 2.7, so the simulation leans Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 against the spread.

The total is 239.5; Mel’s projected 238.1 is right around it.

Recent form

Milwaukee Bucks (0-0) scored 109.4 and allowed 119.8 points a game over their last 5.

Washington Wizards (0-0) scored 113.3 and allowed 113.8 points a game over their last 4.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

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Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.