Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat prediction

Result

Final: Minnesota Timberwolves 131, Miami Heat 106 (Minnesota Timberwolves won). Mel’s pick (Miami Heat win 52% of the time) was wrong. Against the spread, Mel’s lean was right.

Mel’s pick

Miami Heat win 52% of the time in Mel’s Playbook’s default simulation of this game, saved before it started.

• Minnesota Timberwolves: 48%
• Miami Heat: 52%

Projected score

Minnesota Timberwolves 120, Miami Heat 121. 6% of the simulations finished as one-score games.

Mel vs the betting line

Vegas has Miami Heat −1.5. Mel projects Minnesota Timberwolves by 0, so the simulation leans Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 against the spread.

The total is 240.5; Mel’s projected 241.4 is right around it.

Recent form

Minnesota Timberwolves (0-0) scored 116.2 and allowed 122.4 points a game over their last 5.

Miami Heat (0-0) scored 128 and allowed 122.4 points a game over their last 5.

Based on this season’s stats, injuries, rest, travel and the betting market. Updated Oct 21, 9:21 AM ET.

See the full simulation

Mel’s Playbook Pro shows the range of likely totals and margins, player props and every factor behind the pick, and lets you tune the model (home field, injuries, momentum and more) and re-run the game.

Open in Mel’s Playbook Try the free demo game

Every default-model prediction is saved before the game and graded against the final score on our public results page. Simulations are estimates, not guarantees, and this is not betting advice. 21+ where applicable; if gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.